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Patriots vs. Seahawks

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Patriots vs. Seahawks" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 24.5 93% O/U 26.5 93% O/U 28.5 89% O/U 30.5 88% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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Patriots vs. Seahawks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 24.593%
O/U 26.593%
O/U 28.589%
O/U 30.588%
O/U 32.583%
O/U 34.578%
2H O/U 15.575%
3Q O/U 3.575%
4Q O/U 6.575%
O/U 36.574%
Patriots O/U 14.574%
2Q O/U 7.573%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q72%
Seahawks O/U 18.571%
2H O/U 18.569%
O/U 38.567%
Patriots 2H O/U 7.567%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q67%
3Q O/U 6.566%
Seahawks 2H O/U 10.565%
O/U 40.563%
Patriots 1H O/U 7.562%
Patriots O/U 17.561%
O/U 41.560%
Spread -1.559%
Seahawks O/U 21.559%
2H O/U 21.557%
Patriots 2H O/U 9.557%
Spread -2.556%
O/U 42.556%
2H Spread -0.556%
Seahawks 1H O/U 10.556%
Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.556%
2Q O/U 10.555%
O/U 43.554%
Seahawks 2H O/U 12.554%
2H Spread -1.553%
Patriots 1H O/U 9.553%
1H Spread -1.553%
1H Spread -2.551%
O/U 44.550%
Patriots O/U 20.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q O/U 2.550%
1Q O/U 5.550%
1Q O/U 8.550%
1Q O/U 11.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 9.550%
4Q O/U 12.550%
4Q O/U 15.550%
4Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
1Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Safety?50%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Seahawks 1H O/U 12.549%
2H O/U 24.548%
2H Spread -2.548%
1H O/U 22.548%
Spread -3.547%
2Q Spread -2.547%
1Q Moneyline46%
2Q O/U 13.546%
Patriots 2H O/U 11.546%
1Q Spread -0.545%
2H Spread -3.545%
Spread -4.544%
O/U 46.544%
1Q Spread -2.544%
1H O/U 23.543%
4Q Spread -2.543%
Seahawks 2H O/U 14.543%
Seahawks O/U 24.542%
2H Spread -4.542%
Spread -6.541%
O/U 47.541%
3Q Spread -2.541%
2H Moneyline41%
1H Moneyline41%
Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.540%
Patriots vs. Seahawks38%
2Q Spread -3.538%
O/U 48.537%
4Q Spread -3.537%
Patriots O/U 23.536%
2H O/U 27.536%
2Q O/U 19.536%
Patriots 1H O/U 11.536%
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown36%
A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown36%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q36%
Seahawks 1H O/U 14.535%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown35%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q35%
3Q Spread -3.534%
Seahawks O/U 27.533%
1Q Spread -3.533%
O/U 50.532%
Patriots O/U 26.530%
Seahawks O/U 30.529%
4Q Spread -1.528%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-1327%
O/U 52.526%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-2024%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+24%
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.524%
4Q Spread -4.523%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-1223%
Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdown23%
O/U 54.522%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-1821%
George Holani: Anytime Touchdown20%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-2419%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-619%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+18%
O/U 56.517%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-616%
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown16%
AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown15%
O/U 58.514%
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown14%
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown14%
1H O/U 31.514%
O/U 60.513%
O/U 62.510%
O/U 64.59%
1Q O/U 14.59%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TD9%
Jadarian Price 2+ TD8%
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown7%
Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD6%
A.J. Brown 2+ TD6%
Cooper Kupp 2+ TD5%
George Holani 2+ TD5%
Rashid Shaheed 2+ TD3%
AJ Barner 2+ TD3%
Romeo Doubs 2+ TD3%
Exact Margin: Tie2%
TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD2%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for Patriots vs. Seahawks. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If the game is postp…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 24.5 at 93% for "Patriots vs. Seahawks".

O/U 24.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

This page compares Patriots vs. Seahawks specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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