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Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5) 100% Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $87K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)100%
Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-1.5)0%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 1.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Universitatea Craiova host Petrolul Ploieşti in a Romania SuperLiga meeting scheduled for 1 August at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, and the market’s 100% YES crowd price implies traders are treating the listed outcome as effectively certain. Recent head-to-head data favours Craiova strongly: they beat Petrolul 4-0 away in January 2026, and also won 2-0 at home in August 2025, with aggregate H2H records across the available feeds showing Craiova comfortably ahead on wins and goals.[1][6][8][11][12]

For a platform comparison, Polymarket-style markets quote the crowd price as an implied probability, so 100% YES is a hard ceiling rather than an exchange of odds, whereas Betfair and Smarkets would typically express the same expectation as very short decimal prices with commission deducted from winnings, and Kalshi would normally require US-regulated access and identity checks that are distinct from Betfair’s wider international reach. On a market like this, that means even a heavy favourite can still have slight residual uncertainty on a sportsbook or exchange, but the prediction-market screen compresses that into a near-certain binary.[4][14]

The main catalysts are team news, squad registration, and whether the match proceeds on the stated schedule and venue, because a late postponement, venue change, or administrative issue would affect settlement more than the pre-match football itself. Flashscore and SofaScore both list the fixture for 1 August at 18:30 UTC in Craiova, which is the key dependency to watch if you are comparing how different books and prediction platforms settle a “more markets” contract tied to the game rather than to a specific on-pitch statistic.[2][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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