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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

St Mirren FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $342K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
St Mirren FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 1.5100%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Falkirk FC O/U 0.51%
St Mirren FC O/U 2.51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
Falkirk FC (-1.5)0%
Falkirk FC (-2.5)0%
St Mirren FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 1.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

Falkirk v St Mirren has already produced a result, with St Mirren winning 2-0, so a separate “More Markets” contract tied to the same fixture should only pay out if the platform’s rules define an additional, distinct settlement condition rather than the match result itself.[1][7] The crowd-implied **0% YES** is consistent with that outcome, and it is notably different from exchange-style pricing: on Betfair or Smarkets you would usually see decimal odds or back/lay prices for the match, whereas Polymarket and Kalshi present binary probabilities, so a 0% print here means the event is being treated as effectively settled or impossible under the contract wording rather than merely long-priced.

The broader form guide before kick-off leaned towards a tighter contest than the final score suggests. BBC’s pre-match stats noted Falkirk had won four of their previous six league matches, while St Mirren were winless in 12 away league games, and Falkirk had already beaten St Mirren 2-0 in January as well as losing 1-2 at home in March, which is useful context for how volatile this pairing has been.[5][15][16] For platform comparison, that sort of head-to-head history is easier to trade on exchanges with low-friction accounts, while Kalshi-style access can be more limited by jurisdiction and KYC, and fee structures matter because exchange commission can erode thin edges that binary markets sometimes display less explicitly.

The main catalysts to watch on any live or side market were team news, late injuries and whether the fixture timing changed through broadcaster or league scheduling updates; BBC and club previews both flagged line-up information and injuries as the key pre-match inputs.[2][12][18] Once full-time is confirmed, the remaining question for this market is contractual wording: if “More Markets” refers to an ancillary outcome such as cards, corners or player stats, settlement will depend on the official competition and provider rules rather than the 2-0 scoreline alone.[1][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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