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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Which venue prices "Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 92% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 75% Georgia O/U 0.5 72% Ukraine O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
2nd Half O/U 0.575%
Georgia O/U 0.572%
Ukraine O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.570%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score53%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Ukraine (-4.5)50%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 0.548%
2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 3.548%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 2.547%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 3.546%
O/U 2.545%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 0.542%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 0.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.540%
Georgia O/U 1.535%
Ukraine O/U 1.534%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 3.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 3.525%
O/U 3.523%
Ukraine O/U 5.522%
Ukraine O/U 4.521%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
1st Half O/U 4.518%
Georgia (-1.5)14%
Ukraine (-1.5)14%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Georgia O/U 2.512%
Ukraine O/U 2.512%
O/U 4.510%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 1.510%
Georgia O/U 5.510%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 1.59%
Georgia (-2.5)5%
Ukraine (-2.5)5%
O/U 5.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Georgia O/U 3.53%
Georgia O/U 4.53%
Ukraine O/U 3.53%
Georgia (-3.5)1%
Ukraine (-3.5)1%
Georgia (-4.5)1%
Georgia (-5.5)1%
Ukraine (-5.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports