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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 97% Match Winner 90% Map 2 Winner 73% Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) 70% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $493K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner97%
Match Winner90%
Map 2 Winner73%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)70%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.569%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)68%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.558%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)49%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.521%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.520%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 97% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Th…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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