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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Which venue prices "Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 71% Map 1 Winner 60% Map 2 Winner 60% Match Winner 60% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $185K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.571%
Map 1 Winner60%
Map 2 Winner60%
Match Winner60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.554%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.549%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.547%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)47%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)45%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.545%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.540%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)34%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.530%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to valorant: g2 esports vs 100 thieves (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 18 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Espo…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Amer… on Kalshi Alternative

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