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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Which venue prices "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $407K Liquidity: $945K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We read Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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