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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 100% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs MIBR LOS (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs MIBR LOS (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs MIBR LOS (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: mibr los vs team heretics (bo3) - esports world cup group d stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

We read Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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