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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Which venue prices "Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $498K Liquidity: $602K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.553%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.553%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)48%
Match Winner47%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.540%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: nongshim redforce vs g2 esports (bo3) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between Nongshim RedForce and G2 Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "N…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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