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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) 100% Volume: $270K Liquidity: $523K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Pcific Esports (+7.5)65%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Match Winner10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Pcific Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: PCFIC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Pcific Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Pcific Esports (+6.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
and

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