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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Which venue prices "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 3.5 Games 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 58% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 57% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon57%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)52%
First Blood in Game 3?52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?51%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?47%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?46%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Game 2 Winner40%
Game 3 Winner40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 4 Winner39%
O/U 4.5 Games33%
Match Winner30%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmin…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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