🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $501K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
O/U 2.5 Games59%
Match Winner58%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Game Handicap: MILO (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: mibr.los vs lyon (bo3) - esports world cup group d. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between MIBR.LOS and LYON in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIB…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
and

Trade LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D on Kalshi Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →