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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 66% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 62% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $606K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.582%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.566%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.562%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.559%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers52%
O/U 7.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 8.545%
O/U 9.541%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -2.535%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -2.528%
NRFI24%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 82% probability to cleveland guardians vs. detroit tigers. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 13 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 82% for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

This page compares Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

Sports