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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% O/U 7.5 55% NRFI 48% Volume: $215K Liquidity: $802K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 7.555%
NRFI48%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
O/U 8.546%
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees45%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.513%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of detroit tigers vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $215K.

Methodology

This page compares Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

Sports