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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Cross-platform snapshot for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread -1.5 58% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 52% Volume: $665K Liquidity: $297K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
58% 42% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
58% 42% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.558%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.552%
O/U 6.551%
O/U 7.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.549%
O/U 8.542%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies25%
NRFI0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 58% YES probability for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 58% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

Spread -1.5 58% Other 42%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $665K.

Methodology

This page compares Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports