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San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

Cross-platform snapshot for "San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals 56% O/U 8.5 53% Volume: $368K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals56%
O/U 8.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
NRFI48%
Spread -1.543%
O/U 9.541%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
O/U 10.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
Spread -2.532%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals — current market-implied probability: 78%. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% for "San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $368K.

Methodology

This page compares San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports