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Bulls vs. Bucks

Cross-platform snapshot for "Bulls vs. Bucks": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 224.5 77% O/U 227.5 72% O/U 230.5 66% O/U 233.5 60% Volume: $108K Liquidity: $947K Closes: 23 Oct 2026
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Bulls vs. Bucks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 224.577%
O/U 227.572%
O/U 230.566%
O/U 233.560%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.560%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.556%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.556%
O/U 235.555%
O/U 236.554%
O/U 237.553%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.550%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.550%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.550%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.550%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Moneyline50%
Bulls vs. Bucks49%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 238.549%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.549%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.549%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.549%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
1H O/U 115.549%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.549%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.548%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.548%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.548%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.548%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.548%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.548%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.548%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.548%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.548%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.548%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.548%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.547%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.547%
Spread -1.546%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.546%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.546%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.545%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.545%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.545%
O/U 240.544%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.544%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.544%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.544%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.544%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.544%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.543%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.543%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.543%
Spread -3.542%
O/U 241.542%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.542%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.542%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.541%
Spread -4.540%
Spread -3.540%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.539%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.539%
O/U 243.538%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.537%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.537%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.537%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.537%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.537%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.537%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.536%
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.536%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.536%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.535%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.535%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.535%
Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.535%
Spread -6.534%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.534%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.534%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.533%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.533%
O/U 246.532%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 17.532%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.532%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 13.532%
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.532%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.532%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.532%
Spread -6.531%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.531%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.531%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.530%
Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.530%
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.530%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.529%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.529%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.528%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.528%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.528%
O/U 249.527%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.527%
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.527%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 2.527%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.527%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.527%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.526%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.526%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.526%
Spread -9.525%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.525%
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.525%
Spread -9.524%
Overtime?24%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.524%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.523%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.523%
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.523%
O/U 252.522%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.520%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.520%
Spread -12.519%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.519%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.518%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.518%
Spread -12.517%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.516%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.516%
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.514%
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.514%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.514%
Spread -15.513%
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.513%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.513%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.512%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.511%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.511%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.59%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%
Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.59%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, bulls vs. bucks stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 4:00PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 224.5 at 77% for "Bulls vs. Bucks".

O/U 224.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.

Methodology

We read Bulls vs. Bucks from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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