Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 228.5 | 73% |
| O/U 231.5 | 66% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 14.5 | 66% |
| O/U 234.5 | 60% |
| O/U 237.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 239.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 240.5 | 46% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | 44% |
| O/U 241.5 | 44% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| O/U 242.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 244.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 245.5 | 36% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 247.5 | 33% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 18.5 | 32% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Yves Missi: Points O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| O/U 253.5 | 24% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| O/U 256.5 | 18% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to pelicans vs. jazz. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $88K.
Methodology
This page compares Pelicans vs. Jazz specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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