Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 20.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 81% |
| O/U 22.5 | 71% |
| O/U 28.5 | 67% |
| O/U 32.5 | 64% |
| O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 58% |
| O/U 30.5 | 58% |
| O/U 34.5 | 57% |
| O/U 18.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 38.5 | 44% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| O/U 48.5 | 43% |
| O/U 58.5 | 43% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 40.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| O/U 44.5 | 25% |
| O/U 50.5 | 13% |
| O/U 56.5 | 7% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Bengals vs. Eagles. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $105K.
Methodology
This page compares Bengals vs. Eagles specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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