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Broncos vs. Chiefs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Broncos vs. Chiefs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $16.0M Closes: 15 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Broncos vs. Chiefs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H O/U 14.5100%
2H O/U 17.5100%
1Q O/U 1.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 1.5100%
3Q O/U 4.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 8.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 10.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 12.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 8.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 10.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 12.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
Chiefs O/U 16.5100%
Chiefs O/U 19.5100%
Chiefs O/U 22.5100%
Chiefs O/U 25.5100%
Chiefs O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+100%
Team to Record Longest FG100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
Chiefs Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
Chiefs O/U 10.5100%
Chiefs O/U 12.5100%
Chiefs O/U 13.5100%
Chiefs O/U 20.5100%
Chiefs O/U 23.5100%
Chiefs O/U 26.5100%
Chiefs O/U 27.5100%
Chiefs O/U 30.5100%
Broncos 1H O/U 6.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 6.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 13.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 6.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 13.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 16.5100%
Chiefs O/U 17.5100%
Chiefs O/U 29.5100%
4Q O/U 4.5100%
Chiefs 1H O/U 11.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 11.5100%
Chiefs 2H O/U 15.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
Broncos vs. Chiefs0%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
2H Moneyline0%
2H O/U 20.50%
2H O/U 23.50%
2H O/U 26.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q O/U 8.50%
4Q O/U 11.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 17.50%
4Q Moneyline0%
Broncos 1H O/U 7.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 9.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 11.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 7.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 9.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 11.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1H Moneyline0%
Broncos O/U 14.50%
Broncos O/U 17.50%
Broncos O/U 20.50%
Broncos O/U 23.50%
Broncos O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-200%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q0%
Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Broncos vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
4Q Spread -8.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
Broncos O/U 10.50%
Broncos O/U 12.50%
Broncos O/U 13.50%
Broncos O/U 16.50%
Broncos O/U 19.50%
Broncos O/U 27.50%
Broncos O/U 30.50%
Broncos O/U 34.50%
Chiefs O/U 34.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 10.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 12.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 13.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 16.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 17.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 19.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 20.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 16.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 17.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 19.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 20.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 6.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 10.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 12.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 13.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 16.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 17.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 19.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 20.50%
Chiefs 2H O/U 17.50%
Chiefs 2H O/U 19.50%
Chiefs 2H O/U 20.50%
Broncos O/U 22.50%
Broncos O/U 25.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
Chiefs 1H O/U 15.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 14.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 14.50%

Market context

Broncos vs. Chiefs. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 45% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-15T00:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Broncos vs. Chiefs".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $16.0M.

Methodology

We read Broncos vs. Chiefs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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