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Steelers vs. Bills

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Steelers vs. Bills" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 15.5 100% O/U 17.5 100% O/U 19.5 100% O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $274K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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Steelers vs. Bills

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 15.5100%
O/U 17.5100%
O/U 19.5100%
O/U 21.5100%
O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 18.5100%
Steelers O/U 11.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 4.599%
1Q O/U 7.599%
1Q O/U 13.599%
Bills 1H O/U 8.599%
Steelers 1H O/U 6.599%
Steelers 1H O/U 10.599%
O/U 29.596%
O/U 25.591%
1Q O/U 1.580%
O/U 33.578%
O/U 27.577%
O/U 31.576%
O/U 34.575%
O/U 35.573%
O/U 36.572%
O/U 37.570%
Steelers vs. Bills61%
O/U 39.559%
O/U 45.552%
Bills O/U 13.551%
Bills O/U 18.550%
Steelers O/U 17.550%
Bills O/U 19.550%
Steelers O/U 16.550%
O/U 41.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 51.550%
O/U 55.550%
Bills O/U 16.550%
Bills O/U 22.550%
Bills O/U 25.550%
Steelers O/U 14.550%
Steelers O/U 20.550%
Steelers O/U 23.550%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Bills by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Bills by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Bills by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Bills by 21+50%
Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -1.550%
Bills 1H O/U 10.550%
Bills 1H O/U 12.550%
Steelers 1H O/U 8.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H O/U 10.550%
2H O/U 13.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
Exact Margin: Tie49%
Spread -2.536%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -0.532%
Spread -3.531%
Spread -4.527%
O/U 47.527%
1Q Spread -2.523%
1H Spread -2.518%
1Q Spread -0.517%
1Q Spread -1.514%
O/U 53.512%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Steelers vs. Bills. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET: If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 15.5 at 100% for "Steelers vs. Bills".

O/U 15.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $274K.

Methodology

This page compares Steelers vs. Bills specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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Related Topics

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