Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
59% | 41% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
59% | 41% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 17.5 | 59% |
| O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 21+ | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers vs. Jaguars: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers vs. Jaguars: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers vs. Jaguars | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| O/U 35.5 | 8% |
| O/U 37.5 | 5% |
| O/U 41.5 | 5% |
| O/U 47.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| O/U 53.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 59% probability to buccaneers vs. jaguars. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:30PM ET: If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". If the game is postp…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $145K.
Methodology
This page compares Buccaneers vs. Jaguars specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Buccaneers vs. Jaguars on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →