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PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 91% AEK O/U 0.5 72% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 71% O/U 1.5 70% Volume: $46K Liquidity: $576K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
AEK O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
O/U 1.570%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.569%
1st Half O/U 0.568%
Both Teams to Score51%
AEK 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.548%
AEK 1st Half O/U 0.544%
O/U 2.543%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.541%
2nd Half O/U 1.541%
AEK 2nd Half O/U 1.539%
AEK O/U 1.536%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.532%
Team to Advance32%
1st Half O/U 1.530%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half27%
O/U 3.524%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
2nd Half O/U 2.519%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
AEK (-1.5)16%
AEK O/U 2.515%
PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)14%
AEK 1st Half O/U 1.514%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.513%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.513%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
O/U 4.510%
AEK (-2.5)5%
PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)4%
O/U 5.53%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pfk levski sofia vs. aek - more markets stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 18 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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