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UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% McMillen to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $629K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
McMillen to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Montes to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Alberto Montes" if Alberto Montes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $629K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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