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UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Which venue prices "UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $537K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo100%
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Ferreira to win by KO/TKO?0%
Quarantillo to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: diego ferreira vs. billy quarantillo (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Diego Ferreira" if Diego Ferreira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Billy Quarantillo at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $537K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantill… on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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