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UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Cross-platform snapshot for "UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% Fight won by KO/TKO? 63% Ribovics to win by KO/TKO? 63% O/U 1.5 Rounds 62% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $306K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
Fight won by KO/TKO?63%
Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?63%
O/U 1.5 Rounds62%
O/U 2.5 Rounds37%
Fight to Go the Distance?31%
Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics14%
Barboza to win by KO/TKO?9%
Fight won by submission?6%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to ufc 330: edson barboza vs. esteban ribovics (lightweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Edson Barboza" if Edson Barboza is officially declared the winner of the fight against Esteban Ribovics at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 74% for "UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $137K.

Methodology

This page compares UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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