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Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Which venue prices "Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 61% Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde 53% Ends before Round 2? 51% Fight won by KO/TKO? 50% Volume: $482K Liquidity: $71K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds61%
Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde53%
Ends before Round 2?51%
Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Fight won by decision?50%
Ends before Round 3?50%
Bulaid in Round 150%
Bulaid in Round 250%
Bulaid in Round 350%
Visconde in Round 150%
Visconde in Round 250%
Visconde in Round 350%
Decision or Draw50%
Visconde to win by KO/TKO?45%
Bulaid to win by KO/TKO?43%
Fight to Go the Distance?34%
Fight won by submission?31%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dana white's contender series: ilias bulaid vs. erick visconde (featherweight, main card) stands at 61% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 61% for "Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 61% Other 39%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $482K.

Methodology

We read Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card) from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Eric… on Kalshi Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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