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UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Cross-platform snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 75% Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira 74% O/U 1.5 Rounds 57% O/U 2.5 Rounds 47% Volume: $57K Liquidity: $103K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds75%
Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira74%
O/U 1.5 Rounds57%
O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
Fight won by submission?46%
Fight to Go the Distance?38%
Fight won by KO/TKO?23%
Oliveira to win by KO/TKO?9%
Miller to win by KO/TKO?7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to ufc fight night: juliana miller vs. ravena oliveira (women's flyweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Juliana Miller" if Juliana Miller is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ravena Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 75% for "UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $57K.

Methodology

We read UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira … on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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