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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Which venue prices "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 100% Volume: $550K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.599%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)90%
Match Winner56%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.549%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)9%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)6%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+7.5)0%

Market context

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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