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Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Which venue prices "Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) 100% Volume: $487K Liquidity: $670K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.563%
Match Winner56%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.541%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Karmine Corp (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Karmine Corp (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between NRG and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 6 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG w…

Methodology

We read Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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