🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 100% Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) 91% Volume: $311K Liquidity: $698K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.553%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)48%
Map 2 Winner11%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
O/U 2.5 Games9%
Match Winner5%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team E…

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

Trade Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Ame… on Kalshi Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →