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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Cross-platform snapshot for "Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Winner 56% Map 2 Winner 56% Volume: $214K Liquidity: $311K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 2 Winner56%
Match Winner55%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.546%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)37%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)36%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)35%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)32%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 62% YES probability for Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Sentinels and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 16 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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