Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 55% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 55% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Winner | 49% |
| Match Winner | 28% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 2 match between Sentinels and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This marke…
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Ameri… on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →