Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 160.5 | 100% |
| O/U 159.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 161.5 | 100% |
| O/U 162.5 | 100% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics | 0% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to seattle storm vs. washington mystics. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washingt…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $369K.
Methodology
We read Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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