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Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa

Which venue prices "Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 81% Volume: $433K Liquidity: $474K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.581%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner79%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.575%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Completed Match50%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.550%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.550%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa30%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.514%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Paula Badosa in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragi…

Methodology

This page compares Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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