Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of the memphis classic: iryna shymanovich vs katie volynets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Iryna Shymanovich and Katie Volynets in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market w…
Methodology
This page compares The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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