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US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $252K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Game Spread +/-1.591%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set Handicap +/-2.584%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 3 Winner14%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu4%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 1 Winner0%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 2 Winner0%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu. This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Yibing Wu in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth…

Methodology

We read US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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