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Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic

Which venue prices "Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic 100% Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Match O/U 21.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $222K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic100%
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Match O/U 21.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Match O/U 22.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Match O/U 23.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 1 Winner0%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic Game Spread +/-4.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of plovdiv 3: georgii kravchenko vs dusan obradovic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Dusan Obradovic in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We read Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dusan Obradovic from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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