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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Cross-platform snapshot for "League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

A 50% B 50% C 50% D 50% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $201K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
A50%
B50%
C50%
D50%
E50%
Other50%
BLG32%
HLE26%
T113%
GEN12%
KC11%
WE10%
DCG6%
TLAW5%
LYON3%
NIP3%
G21%
TES1%
JDG1%
DK1%
AL0%
KT0%
FLY0%
WBG0%
TSW0%
CFO0%
C90%
MKOI0%
IG0%
GAM0%
BFX0%

Market context

The event is whether a team finishes **first** in Riot’s official Global Power Rankings after the 2026 World Championship, so the live price is really a read on who can carry late-season Worlds form into the final published table. Polymarket has this at **26% YES** for the current leader slot, while Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets would typically present the same view through decimal odds or exchange prices rather than a direct percentage, so converting between formats matters more than the headline number.

Historically, these rankings have been volatile around major international events because the system heavily rewards Worlds results, which means a single deep run can re-order the top of the table quickly. The current 2026 picture is tightly packed: Polymarket shows HLE, BLG, GEN and T1 separated by only a few percentage points, and a separate 2026 ranking page has HLE, BLG, GEN and T1 clustered at the top on Elo-style points as well[4][5]. That narrow spread is why the market is more sensitive to bracket outcomes than to regular-season records, and why platform differences in fees and access matter: exchanges such as Betfair and Smarkets usually suit traders who want to net out around the spread and commission, while Polymarket’s appeal is the simple implied-probability quote, but it is not universally accessible because KYC and jurisdiction rules differ by venue.

The main catalysts are the Worlds format, the draw and bracket path, and the final official GPR update after the tournament, because Riot’s published ranking is the resolution source[1][2][4]. Watch for any changes to the scoring methodology or update cadence on LoL Esports, plus the results of late-year international events that feed into the final weighting; a recent article on the official site continues to describe GPR as the AWS-powered ranking used for competitive comparisons, underscoring that the market is ultimately about Riot’s post-Worlds publication rather than a fan poll[6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post Worlds: Rank 1 from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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