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Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic

Which venue prices "Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic 100% Completed Match 100% Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $510K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic100%
Completed Match100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 Winner100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 Winner100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 21.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 22.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Match O/U 23.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Hamad Medjedovic in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jua…

Methodology

We read Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovic from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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