Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 65% |
| Spread -0.5 | 64% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Bowling Green O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| Kent State vs. Bowling Green | 36% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Bowling Green O/U 26.5 | 32% |
| Bowling Green O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 51.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 53.5 | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| O/U 55.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Bowling Green O/U 32.5 | 20% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Bowling Green O/U 35.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 73% chance of kent state vs. bowling green. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Kent State and Bowling Green, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
This page compares Kent State vs. Bowling Green specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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