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Penn State vs. Michigan

Cross-platform snapshot for "Penn State vs. Michigan": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% O/U 35.5 100% Volume: $389K Liquidity: $344K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Penn State vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.5100%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
2H O/U 30.591%
4Q O/U 19.591%
2H O/U 33.590%
4Q O/U 16.590%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.590%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.590%
2H Spread -0.590%
2H Spread -2.590%
2H Spread -4.590%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H53%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown53%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q453%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.553%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.553%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.553%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.553%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.553%
Michigan O/U 2.553%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H48%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q248%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q348%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q248%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q148%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown48%
Pick-Six Scored48%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.548%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.548%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.548%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.548%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.548%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.548%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.548%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.548%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.548%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.548%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.548%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.548%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.548%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.548%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.548%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.548%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.548%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.548%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.548%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.548%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.548%
Penn State O/U 2.548%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.547%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.510%
Game Goes to Overtime10%
2H Spread -7.510%
4Q Spread -0.510%
4Q Spread -5.510%
4Q Spread -1.51%
4Q Spread -2.51%
4Q Spread -3.51%
2H Moneyline1%
Penn State vs. Michigan0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Penn State O/U 20.50%
Penn State O/U 23.50%
Penn State O/U 26.50%
Penn State O/U 29.50%
Penn State O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 23.50%
Michigan O/U 26.50%
Michigan O/U 29.50%
Michigan O/U 32.50%
Michigan O/U 35.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 11.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 13.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The Penn State vs. Michigan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Penn State vs. Michigan".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $389K.

Methodology

This page compares Penn State vs. Michigan specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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