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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Which venue prices "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Ends in Daytime 56% Ends in Daytime 51% Ends in Daytime 51% Any Player Ultra Kill 51% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $725K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime56%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?47%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Game 1 Winner35%
Game 2 Winner35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks29%
Match Winner28%
Any Player Rampage28%
Any Player Rampage28%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 56% chance of dota 2: lgd gaming vs team yandex (bo3) - the international elimination round. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The Intern… on Kalshi Alternative

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