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Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 95% Arsenal FC O/U 0.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 79% O/U 1.5 78% Volume: $360K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.579%
O/U 1.578%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.569%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.563%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.560%
O/U 2.554%
Leeds United FC O/U 0.552%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Leeds United FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Both Teams to Score47%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)43%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.534%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.534%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.532%
O/U 3.531%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.527%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.524%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half23%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)22%
Leeds United FC O/U 4.520%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Leeds United FC O/U 3.519%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-1.5)19%
Leeds United FC O/U 1.518%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 2.518%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-1.5)18%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half (-1.5)17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
2nd Half O/U 4.516%
Arsenal FC O/U 3.515%
O/U 4.514%
Arsenal FC (-5.5)13%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
Leeds United FC (-5.5)12%
1st Half O/U 4.511%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 2.510%
Arsenal FC (-3.5)9%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 3.58%
O/U 5.57%
2nd Half O/U 3.57%
Arsenal FC O/U 4.56%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 2.56%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-2.5)5%
Leeds United FC O/U 2.54%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 1.54%
Leeds United FC (-1.5)3%
Arsenal FC (-4.5)3%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Leeds United FC O/U 5.53%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 3.53%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 3.53%
O/U 6.52%
Leeds United FC 1st Half (-1.5)2%
Leeds United FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Arsenal FC O/U 5.51%
Leeds United FC (-3.5)0%
Leeds United FC (-4.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, arsenal fc vs. leeds united fc - more markets stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 AM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
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