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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt

Which venue prices "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 Winner 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt 95% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 Winner 83% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set Handicap +/-1.5 68% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $260K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 Winner100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt95%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 Winner83%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set Handicap +/-1.568%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 21.525%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 22.525%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 23.525%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Total Sets: O/U 2.519%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open: alex de minaur vs cruz hewitt. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Cruz Hewitt in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de M…

Methodology

We read Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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