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Arkansas vs. Utah

Which venue prices "Arkansas vs. Utah" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1Q O/U 7.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 91% 1Q Spread -1.5 91% 1Q Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $153K Liquidity: $489K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Arkansas vs. Utah

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -0.591%
1Q Spread -1.591%
1Q Spread -2.591%
1Q Spread -3.591%
Spread -1.586%
O/U 36.586%
Spread -2.584%
Spread -3.578%
Spread -4.576%
O/U 38.576%
O/U 40.576%
Spread -6.573%
Utah O/U 27.573%
Spread -5.572%
O/U 42.572%
4Q Spread -2.571%
3Q Spread -3.569%
O/U 44.568%
O/U 46.567%
Spread -7.566%
Spread: Utah (-9.5)63%
Utah O/U 30.563%
4Q O/U 10.559%
Spread -8.558%
O/U 50.557%
4Q O/U 13.557%
O/U 48.556%
3Q Spread -2.556%
Utah O/U 37.554%
2Q O/U 10.554%
1H Spread -4.553%
O/U 52.552%
1H Spread -6.552%
2Q Spread -3.552%
1H Spread -9.552%
Arkansas O/U 20.552%
Spread -26.552%
2Q O/U 13.552%
Spread -10.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown50%
KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown50%
Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown50%
Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Utah O/U 33.550%
Utah O/U 36.550%
Utah O/U 39.550%
Arkansas O/U 15.550%
Arkansas O/U 18.550%
Arkansas O/U 24.550%
Utah 1H O/U 15.550%
Utah 1H O/U 17.550%
Utah 1H O/U 19.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 8.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 10.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 12.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Arkansas O/U 14.550%
Arkansas O/U 17.550%
Arkansas O/U 26.550%
Utah O/U 28.550%
Utah O/U 31.550%
Utah O/U 40.550%
Utah 1H O/U 14.550%
Utah 1H O/U 16.550%
Utah 1H O/U 18.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 7.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 9.550%
Arkansas 1H O/U 11.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Utah 2H O/U 14.550%
Utah 2H O/U 16.550%
Utah 2H O/U 18.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 7.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 9.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 11.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -29.550%
Spread -32.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2H O/U 32.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
Spread -11.548%
Arkansas O/U 2.548%
Arkansas O/U 21.548%
Spread -15.547%
Spread -12.546%
Utah O/U 4.546%
Spread -14.545%
4Q Spread -3.545%
3Q O/U 12.545%
Spread -13.544%
2Q Spread -7.544%
Utah O/U 34.543%
Spread -18.542%
Spread -19.541%
O/U 54.539%
Spread -16.539%
2Q O/U 19.539%
Arkansas O/U 23.538%
2Q O/U 16.538%
4Q O/U 7.538%
3Q Spread -7.537%
4Q Spread -7.537%
4Q O/U 19.537%
1H Spread -7.536%
O/U 55.535%
Spread -17.535%
Spread -22.535%
2Q Moneyline34%
O/U 62.533%
O/U 64.532%
Spread -25.531%
O/U 58.530%
2Q Spread -2.530%
Spread -28.530%
O/U 56.529%
Spread -20.528%
O/U 68.528%
O/U 70.528%
O/U 76.528%
Spread -27.527%
O/U 74.527%
4Q O/U 16.526%
O/U 57.524%
Spread -21.523%
1H O/U 30.523%
Spread -24.522%
O/U 60.522%
1H O/U 27.522%
Arkansas vs. Utah16%
Arkansas O/U 27.516%
O/U 66.513%
O/U 72.512%
Spread -1.512%
1Q Spread -4.510%
1Q Moneyline10%
Spread -4.510%
Spread -2.510%
1Q Spread -1.510%
1Q Spread -5.510%
1Q O/U 10.510%
1Q O/U 13.510%
1Q O/U 16.510%
1Q O/U 19.510%
Spread -5.59%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to arkansas vs. utah. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Utah, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Arkansas vs. Utah".

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $153K.

Methodology

This page compares Arkansas vs. Utah specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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