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Cal Poly vs. San Jose State

Which venue prices "Cal Poly vs. San Jose State" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $79K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Cal Poly vs. San Jose State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 11.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 14.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 17.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 20.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 28.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 16.5100%
Cal Poly 2H O/U 7.5100%
Cal Poly 2H O/U 9.5100%
Cal Poly 2H O/U 11.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 13.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 16.5100%
Cal Poly O/U 19.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
Cal Poly vs. San Jose State0%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 57.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
O/U 77.50%
2H Moneyline0%
O/U 56.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Moneyline0%
San Jose State O/U 32.50%
San Jose State O/U 35.50%
San Jose State O/U 38.50%
San Jose State O/U 41.50%
San Jose State O/U 44.50%
Cal Poly O/U 23.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -33.50%
Spread -36.50%
Spread -37.50%
Spread -40.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1H O/U 36.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -11.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H O/U 31.50%
2H O/U 34.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Cal Poly 1H O/U 7.50%
Cal Poly 1H O/U 9.50%
Cal Poly 1H O/U 11.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 17.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 19.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 21.50%
San Jose State 2H O/U 17.50%
San Jose State 2H O/U 19.50%
San Jose State 2H O/U 21.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 18.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 20.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 22.50%
O/U 58.50%
Cal Poly O/U 22.50%
Cal Poly O/U 25.50%
San Jose State 1H O/U 23.50%
San Jose State O/U 33.50%
San Jose State O/U 36.50%
San Jose State O/U 39.50%
San Jose State O/U 42.50%
San Jose State O/U 45.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cal poly vs. san jose state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Cal Poly and San Jose State, scheduled for September 12 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cal Poly" if Cal Poly win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Cal Poly vs. San Jose State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.

Methodology

We read Cal Poly vs. San Jose State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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