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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Map 2 Winner 100% Map 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% O/U 4.5 Games 100% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $159K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
O/U 4.5 Games100%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)100%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)53%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)53%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.548%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 4 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Liquid (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Liquid (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Liquid (+9.5)0%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)0%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-12.5) vs NRG (+12.5)0%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: nrg vs liquid (bo5) - pgl masters bucharest: north american qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between NRG and Liquid in the PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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