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Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Game 2 Winner 83% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $587K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner83%
O/U 2.5 Games83%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner32%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)18%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: glyph vs playtime (bo3) - games of the future playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 1 match between GLYPH and PlayTime in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 1:00AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
and

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