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Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel

Cross-platform snapshot for "Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Completed Match 100% Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel 0% Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 1 Winner 0% Volume: $133K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel0%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 1 Winner0%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 2 Winner0%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Match O/U 21.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Match O/U 22.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of palermo: anastasia abbagnato vs clara burel. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Abbagnato and Clara Burel in the Palermo, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page compares Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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Related Topics

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